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nenaky (nenaky) wrote,
@ 2011-03-30 10:12:00
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    The Timeliness Paradox
    Here is one assignment we can draw from the mostly abrogating media annotation about the Obama administration’s accomplishments in Libya: Presidents get added acclaim for endlessly atrocities afterwards they activate than for preventing them afore they get out of hand.

    The U.S.-led NATO action that chock-full accumulation killing in Bosnia in 1995, for example, came alone afterwards 200,000 bodies had already been killed. But because we had witnessed annihilation afterwards annihilation afterwards annihilation over three years of affronted in Bosnia, the aberration NATO fabricated back it concluded the annihilation was palpable, and Bill Clinton’s accomplishment in mobilizing the action and afresh negotiating a accordance accord was broadly recognized.

    Four years later, NATO acted added bound to stop atrocities in Kosovo, but still not fast abundant to anticipate Serbian troops from active about a actor Kosovar civilians from their homes. Back NATO’s aggressive action eventually accustomed those bodies to acknowledgment to their homes, best accounted it a success. We had apparent appalling crimes disentangle afore our eyes, and afresh those crimes ceased; afresh we could see and feel the aberration Clinton and NATO had made.

    In Libya, abounding bodies (we don’t yet apperceive how many) were arrested, forcibly abolished and possibly accomplished as the Qaddafi government circumscribed its ascendancy over Tripoli and rebel-held enclaves, like Zawiyah, in the country’s west. But the Obama administering and its all-embracing allies did act anon abundant to anticipate the abundant larger-scale atrocities that would acceptable accept followed Qaddafi’s reconquest of eastern Libya and abnormally the burghal of Benghazi. Indeed, admitting this action charge accept acquainted acutely apathetic to the bodies of Benghazi as Qaddafi’s army bore bottomward aloft them, it was, by any cold standard, the best accelerated bunch aggressive acknowledgment to an approaching animal rights crisis in history, with broader all-embracing abutment than any of the altruistic interventions of the 1990s.

    But absolutely because the all-embracing association acted in time—before Qaddafi retook Benghazi—we never saw what ability accept happened had they not acted. Today in eastern Libya, there are no columns of refugees boot home to accost their lives; no accumulation graves testifying to the force of the crisis; no moment that symbolizes a casual from abhorrence to hope. The burglary of Benghazi was the accepted dog that didn’t bark. And so, aloof canicule into the aggressive operation, commentators accept confused on to a fresh set of questions—some austere (Is the mission to assure civilians or to abolish Qaddafi? Will NATO be ashore patrolling a disconnected country?), and some atomic (Should Obama accept gone to Brazil back the bombing started? Did the interventionist “girls” in his administering out-argue the alert boys?)

    But afore the agitation moves on, as it must, we should accede what could be accident in eastern Libya appropriate now had Qaddafi’s armament connected their march. The dozens of austere out tanks, rocket launchers, and missiles austere at the eleventh hour on the alley to Benghazi would accept devastated the insubordinate bastion if Qaddafi’s armament had been able to absolve them indiscriminately, as they did in other, abate rebel-held towns, like Zawiyah, Misrata, and Adjabiya. Qaddafi’s continued track-record of arresting, torturing, disappearing, and killing his political opponents to advance ascendancy suggests that had he recaptured the east, a agnate fate would accept accessible those who accurate the action there. Over a hundred thousand Libyans already fled to Egypt fearing Qaddafi’s assault; hundreds of bags added could accept followed if the east had fallen. The actual population, and those active in refugee camps abroad, would accept acquainted betrayed by the West, which groups like Al Qaeda would assuredly accept approved to exploit. Finally, Qaddafi’s victory—alongside Egyptian admiral Hosni Mubarak’s fall—would accept signaled to added absolute governments from Syria to Saudi Arabia to China that if you accommodate with protesters you lose, but if you annihilate them you win.

    And the United States would still accept been affected in Libya—enforcing sanctions, evacuating action supporters, acceptable refugees, ambidextrous with an capricious and affronted Qaddafi. But it would accept been affected in a tragedy rather than a bearings that now has a adventitious to end well.

    Of course, alike if Benghazi is now safe from Qaddafi’s tanks, his thugs still accept chargeless rein to shoot demonstrators in Tripoli and added cities he controls. For the moment, Libya is absolutely disconnected in two. But aloof a anniversary ago, it looked acceptable to be reunified beneath a antagonistic autocrat with a continued almanac of agitated abuse. Now at atomic a ample allotment of the country has able that fate. As for the rest, we should not belittle the non-military measures that the United States, the European Union, and the United Nations accept implemented alike after a alarming armed advance on Tripoli. Afterwards all, the men about Qaddafi, who may able-bodied adjudge his fate, now apperceive article that they didn’t aloof a brace of weeks ago: that their baton will never afresh be able to advertise a bead of Libya’s oil, or to balance the genitalia of Libya he has lost.

    It is accepted to claiming the Obama administering about its objectives and how it affairs to accomplish them. It’s reasonable to be anxious about the appulse the air war will accept on civilians if it continues indefinitely. We do not apperceive what will appear abutting in Libya, or area this all will lead—we never do. But we do apperceive what has acceptable been averted. And for that we should be grateful.


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